Software's first act is over 🐘

AWS’s Marc Brooker offers a sober view of the evolving split in the road for software development career.

 The slow end of programming as an economic discipline, as weaving, ploughing, and coopering went before. It is reasonable and rational to feel a sense of loss, and a sense of uncertainty. With the loss of the craft comes the loss of the economic moment where that craft was valued beyond nearly any other.

Craft was valued beyond nearly any other — At least since the turn of this century, software jobs were the veritable gold mines of making over the top money, even if you were slightly ambitious, and worked your way into high paying jobs. That is already gone.

But new ideas, real transformative new ideas, remain hard to come by. And, as the lever gets longer, more and more valuable.

We haven’t seen this yet through the haze, and the dense fog of the present, but we need to be patient, and keep looking for that lever.

Nothing wrong in refusing the touch “AI” because there will be still work for those want to do it the “old way”.

The stubborn who stick to the old ways, and hustle to squeeze out the remaining economic value. That value will remain, because the world always changes slower than we would like.

Many fields only change through the death of the current crop of “experts”, and software is no different.

But one this is for certain — Software’s first act is over.